Political analyst Mutahi Ngunyi has predicted that Azimio la Umoja One Kenya Party presidential aspirant Raila Odinga will win the August 9 polls.
In a video on his YouTube channel, Ngunyi said the former Prime Minister will win the election with 51.3% while Deputy President William Ruto will come second with 45%.
He said Raila has always gotten 44% without Mt Kenya votes; making it obvious for him to clinch the country’s top seat.
“In 2007, Raila got 44% of the vote, same with 2013 and 2017. A banana tree does not give you bananas today and tomorrow and expect to get oranges the day after,” Ngunyi said.
Ngunyi added that the 2022 election will witness a 71% voters turnout; about 15.6 million voters.
On votes from the Mt Kenya region, the political analyst said according to the voting pattern, presidential candidates share votes on a ratio of 66 to 33 percent.
“Historically, whenever the Mt Kenya region has two candidates, or they are unsure of the way forward, they give one candidate 66% while the other receives 33 %,” he added.
In this case, Ngunyi said Kenya Kwanza would get the 66% percent while Raila on the other hand would get 33%.
This means Ruto will have a total of seven million while Raila will have eight million.
“With 51.3 per cent, he will have crossed the 50% plus one vote threshold by about 200 thousand votes, about 5 votes per polling station and that can be manipulated to have a nullification based on the 2017 precedent,” he added.
Azimio presidential candidate Raila Odinga and Kenya Kwanza’s William Ruto PHOTO/COURTESY
As earlier reported on GOTTA.news, renowned Zimbabwean preacher Prophet Ian Ndlovu has endorsed DP Ruto for presidency in the forthcoming elections.
In a video widely shared online, the prophet noted that God had given Kenya a chance to have an intercessor associated with spiritual alignment and renewal.
Ndlovu of Divine Baptist Church also asked the electorate to vote in Ruto in the much anticipated elections slated for next week.
“God wants to use a prominent son of that nation whose name is Bill and the initial of the other name is R will those who make decisions choose what God has chosen,” he said.
READ ALSO: CS Magoha Orders Schools Closed on Tuesday August 2
Shortened versions of the name William in English include Will, Willy, Willie, Bill, and Billy.
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